Most Recent GFDL Publications

December 2025 - Present

1. Roberts, Kelsey, Tyler Rohr, Morgan R Raven, Michael S Diamond, Daniele Visioni, Ben Kravitz, Ryan F Heneghan, Colleen M Petrik, Daniele Bianchi, Kelly Ortega-Cisneros, Monica A Morrison, Vanessa van Heerden, Nicola A Wiseman, Gouri Anil, Zachary J Cannizzo, Marta Coll, Joshua Coupe, Ryan Freedman, Kristen M Krumhardt, Lester Kwiatkowski, Nicole S Lovenduski, Jessica Y Luo, Holly C Olivarez, Alan Robock, Jeroen Steenbeek, and Cheryl S Harrison, March 2026: Potential impacts of climate interventions on marine ecosystems. Reviews of Geophysics, 64(1), doi:10.1029/2024RG000876.
2. Joh, Youngji, Sang-Wook Yeh, Thomas L Delworth, Zachary M Labe, Andrew T Wittenberg, William F Cooke, Jiale Lou, and Young-Gyu Park, February 2026: Evolving synchronization of the Gulf Stream and Kuroshio-Oyashio Extension in a changing climate. Science Advances, 12(8), doi:10.1126/sciadv.adx6366.
3. Liang, Wengui, Ming Zhao, Zhihong Tan, Thomas R Knutson, Wenhao Dong, and Bosong Zhang, February 2026: Confronting historical precipitation trends in models with observations: Forced signal and atmospheric internal variability. Geophysical Research Letters, 53(3), doi:10.1029/2025GL118712.
4. Xu, Weixuan Rosa, Keith W Dixon, Nicole Zenes, and John R Lanzante, February 2026: Examining the impact of bias correction configurations on a multivariate meteorological index: A case study of Heat Index analysis in the Northeast U.S.. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 65(2), doi:10.1175/JAMC-D-25-0128.1269-284.
5. Chang, Inseong, Young-Ho Kim, Young-Gyu Park, Hyunkeun Jin, Gyundo Pak, Andrew C Ross, and Robert Hallberg, January 2026: Assessing vertical coordinate system performance in the Regional Modular Ocean Model 6 configuration for Northwest Pacific. Geoscientific Model Development, 19(1), doi:10.5194/gmd-19-187-2026187-216.
6. Comaniciu, Antonia, and Hiroyuki Murakami, January 2026: A novel method for improving seasonal Atlantic hurricane activity prediction based on convolutional neural networks and visualization maps. Artificial Intelligence for the Earth Systems, 5(1), doi:10.1175/AIES-D-25-0010.1.
7. Feldl, Nicole, Jing Feng, and David J Paynter, January 2026: Explaining the transient and equilibrium longwave feedback with moist adiabatic theory and its deviations. Journal of Climate, 39(2), doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-25-0228.1715-726.
8. Gregory, William, Mitchell Bushuk, Yongfei Zhang, Alistair Adcroft, Laure Zanna, Colleen McHugh, and Liwei Jia, January 2026: Advancing global sea ice prediction capabilities using a fully coupled climate model with integrated machine learning. Science Advances, 12(1), doi:10.1126/sciadv.ady8957.
9. Li, Xiaohan, Songmiao Fan, Huan Guo, and Paul Ginoux, January 2026: Resolving the roles of soot and dust in cirrus cloud ice formation at regional and global scales: insights from parcel and climate modeling. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 26(1), doi:10.5194/acp-26-95-202695-115.
10. Szopa, Sophie, Vaishali Naik, and Michael J Prather, January 2026: Perspectives on IPCC assessment of SLCF role in climate. npj Clean Air, 2, 5, doi:10.1038/s44407-025-00046-1.
11. Tan, Zhihong, and Ming Zhao, January 2026: Impact of the NCEP TKE-based eddy-diffusivity mass-flux boundary layer scheme on the climatology and warming response of GFDL AM4.0 model. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 18(1), doi:10.1029/2025MS005168.
12. Wei, Xinyue, and Rong Zhang, January 2026: Impacts of eastern Arctic Eurasian Basin water mass properties on the AMOC and Beaufort Sea Atlantic Water layer. Geophysical Research Letters, 53(2), doi:10.1029/2025GL119128.
13. Yoon, Donghyuck, Jan-Huey Chen, Hsin Hsu, and Kirsten L Findell, January 2026: Variations in land-atmosphere coupling during drought-heatwave events. Communications Earth and Environment, 7, 1, doi:10.1038/s43247-025-02977-9.
14. Zhang, Bosong, Brian J Soden, Haozhe He, and Ryan J Kramer, January 2026: Decoupling land surface effects from CO2 effective radiative forcing in a climate model. Journal of Climate, 39(1), doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-25-0231.165-76.
15. Chang, Chiung-Yin, Pu Lin, Isaac M Held, Timothy M Merlis, and Pablo Zurita-Gotor, December 2025: Resolution dependence of tropical poleward energy transport in aquaplanet GCMs. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 17(12), doi:10.1029/2025MS005103.
16. Chu, Wenchao, Jorge L García-Franco, Suzana J Camargo, Chia-Ying Lee, Michael K Tippett, and Hiroyuki Murakami, December 2025: Evaluation of tropical cyclone characteristics in the SPEAR large ensemble simulations. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 17(12), doi:10.1029/2025MS005361.
17. Chua, Glen, Vaishali Naik, Fabien Paulot, Jing Feng, and Larry W Horowitz, December 2025: Impact of future methane emission trajectories on atmospheric composition and climate in a future hydrogen economy. Earth's Future, 13(12), doi:10.1029/2025EF006254.
18. Clark, Spencer K., Oliver Watt-Meyer, Anna Kwa, Jeremy McGibbon, Brian Henn, W Andre Perkins, Elynn Wu, Lucas Harris, and Christopher S Bretherton, December 2025: ACE2-SOM: Coupling an ML atmospheric emulator to a slab ocean and learning the sensitivity of climate to changed CO2. JGR Machine Learning and Computation, 2(4), doi:10.1029/2024JH000575.
19. Corrales-Ugalde, Marco, Jessica Y Luo, Colleen M Petrik, Charles A Stock, Mathilde Dugenne, Lars Stemmann, Todd D O'Brien, and Rainer Kiko, December 2025: Assessment of plankton size structure from CMIP6 Earth System Models with a novel Pelagic Size Structure Database. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 39(12), doi:10.1029/2024GB008443.
20. Lin, Meiyun, Larry W Horowitz, Yuanyu Xie, and Isabelle De Smedt, December 2025: Compound drivers of rising ozone extremes in the North China Plain (2013-2023): Aerosol decline, hot droughts, afforestation-driven BVOCs, and reduced vegetation uptake. JGR Atmospheres, 130(24), doi:10.1029/2025JD044764.
21. Liu, Ping, Kevin A Reed, Ming Zhao, Stephen T Garner, and Minghua Zhang, December 2025: Rapid shrinking of the warming hole over the United States in ERA5 and SPEAR. JGR Atmospheres, 130(23), doi:10.1029/2025JD044627.
22. Martinez-Villalobos, Cristian, Antonietta Capotondi, Clara Deser, Boris Dewitte, Neil J Holbrook, Matthew Newman, Cécile Penland, Daniel Vimont, and Andrew T Wittenberg, December 2025: A low-order data-driven model of ENSO diversity. Geophysical Research Letters, 52(24), doi:10.1029/2025GL118649.
23. Narinesingh, Veeshan, Joseph P Clark, David J Paynter, Zhihong Tan, Berenize Garcia Nueva, and Kristopher Rand, December 2025: Modeling Northern Hemisphere heat extremes in current and warmer climate: Intensity, duration, and physical drivers. Journal of Climate, 38(24), doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-25-0013.17625-7638.
24. Schultz, Cristina, Jessica Y Luo, Damian C Brady, Robinson W Fulweiler, Matthew H Long, Colleen M Petrik, Jeremy M Testa, Heather M Benway, David Burdige, Marta M Cecchetto, Isa Elegbede, Natalya Evans, Alexandra Frenzel, Kayla Gillen, Lisa C Herbert, Heidi K Hirsh, Gennadi Lessin, Lisa Levin, Kanchan Maiti, Sairah Malkin, Sarah L Mincks, Stanley Nmor, Anh Pham, James Pinckney, Christophe Rabouille, Shaily Rahman, and Subhadeep Rakshit, et al., December 2025: Elucidating the role of marine benthic carbon in a changing world. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 39(12), doi:10.1029/2025GB008643.
25. Zhou, Wenyu, L Ruby Leung, Chuan-Chieh Chang, Ming Zhao, Huang-Hsiung Hsu, Hsin-Chien Liang, Chia-Ying Tu, Karthik Balaguru, and Jian Lu, December 2025: Poleward migration of tropical cyclones over 1980–2024 is dominated by Pacific variability. Nature Geoscience, doi:10.1038/s41561-025-01866-2.